{"id":4659,"date":"2013-10-07T21:04:46","date_gmt":"2013-10-08T01:04:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/?p=4659"},"modified":"2015-06-04T15:38:42","modified_gmt":"2015-06-04T19:38:42","slug":"cd4-cell-count-at-presentation-a-figure-with-a-depressingly-small-upward-slope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/cd4-cell-count-at-presentation-a-figure-with-a-depressingly-small-upward-slope\/2013\/10\/07\/","title":{"rendered":"CD4 Cell Count at Presentation: A Figure with a Depressingly Small Upward Slope"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2013\/10\/angry-smoke-out-of-ears1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-4663\" alt=\"angry smoke out of ears\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2013\/10\/angry-smoke-out-of-ears1.jpg\" width=\"99\" height=\"100\" \/><\/a>You know how to make an ID\/HIV specialist angry? Frustrated? Sigh loudly?<\/p>\n<p>Tell a clinical anecdote that involves &#8220;late&#8221; presentation of HIV diagnosis, in particular someone who has been seeking medical care for various ailments for months or even years without getting tested.<\/p>\n<p>You know &#8212; it goes something like this:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px\">&#8220;He was seen 3 years ago for zoster [or syphilis or pneumonia or thrombocytopenia], and no one sent an HIV test. Now he&#8217;s in the hospital with PCP and 10 T-cells.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It makes smoke come out of our ears because first, it&#8217;s so preventable, and second, it doesn&#8217;t seem like we&#8217;re making any progress.<\/p>\n<p>Well, that&#8217;s not quite true &#8212; we are\u00a0making <em>some<\/em> progress, just not very much. In <em>Clinical Infectious Diseases<\/em>, <a href=\"http:\/\/cid.oxfordjournals.org\/content\/57\/7\/1027.abstract?sid=971ec46a-586e-4185-94a1-430c7e740c66\" target=\"_blank\">a new paper<\/a> summarizes the trend in CD4 cell count at diagnosis for nearly 170,000 patients in studies published from 1992 to 2011. Here&#8217;s the punch line:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Mean CD4 cell count at presentation increased minimally by 1.5 cells\/\u03bcL per year (95% CI, \u22126.1 to 5.5 cells\/\u03bcL per year), from 307 cells\/\u03bcL in 1992 to 336 cells\/\u03bcL in 2011.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Yes, folks, that&#8217;s a <strong>1.5 cell\/year<\/strong> increase! \u00a0Got to show the figure, which no doubt will be much-cited, with considerable hand-wringing:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2013\/10\/cd4-at-presentation1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-4660\" alt=\"cd4 at presentation\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2013\/10\/cd4-at-presentation-1024x5141.jpg\" width=\"573\" height=\"288\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Note in particular the lack of inflection in the late 1990s &#8212; you know, the years when HIV became <em>treatable.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>As the authors note, these findings raise significant questions about the &#8220;treatment as prevention&#8221; strategy, at least if the goal is complete elimination of the HIV epidemic. They also make many of our &#8220;when to start&#8221; debates completely irrelevant for more than half the newly diagnosed patients &#8212; their CD4 is already &lt; 350, often substantially so.<\/p>\n<p>The legal impediments to HIV testing are now pretty much gone, thank goodness. So what is the reason for this continued delay in diagnosis?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You know how to make an ID\/HIV specialist angry? Frustrated? Sigh loudly? Tell a clinical anecdote that involves &#8220;late&#8221; presentation of HIV diagnosis, in particular someone who has been seeking medical care for various ailments for months or even years without getting tested. You know &#8212; it goes something like this: &#8220;He was seen 3 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,4,5,8,10],"tags":[423,447],"class_list":["post-4659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-health-care","category-hiv","category-infectious-diseases","category-patient-care","category-research","tag-hiv","tag-hiv-testing"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4659","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4659"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4659\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4659"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4659"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nejm.org\/hiv-id-observations\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4659"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}